# Climate Hazard Diagnostics - Wildfire

Emmi — version 1.3

## Description

This dataset quantifies fire hazard intensity, fire danger days, fire occurrence probability, and asset average annual loss at 0.1° (~11 km) spatial resolution, with global coverage. Data includes a historical baseline (1980) and projections for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under IPCC climate scenarios RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0, and RCP8.5.

## Summary

- **ID:** a70e1872-aaa6-480d-b2fc-f778e0343de5
- **Type:** Raster
- **CRS:** EPSG:4326
- **Spatial coverage:** Global
- **Spatial resolution:** 11 km
- **Temporal coverage:** 1980-2080
- **Temporal resolution:** Irregular

## Usage notes

Spatial coverage is limited to land surfaces. The historical baseline represents a modelled pre-acceleration climate state, not actual conditions in 1980. Average annual loss baseline reflects present-day calibrated conditions rather than a modelled 1980 climate state. Future years should be interpreted relative to the baseline, not in isolation as absolute hazard levels. Meaningful differences among climate scenarios typically occur from 2050 onwards. This dataset is designed for portfolio-scale screening and comparative scenario analysis, not site-specific fire behaviour modelling.

## Variables

### average_annual_loss_baseline
- **Type:** float32
- **NoData:** NaN
Expected annual damage as a fraction of asset value for the historical baseline (1980). Data is the product of fire intensity, fire occurrence probability, and a damage calibration factor derived from 1990-2024 disaster losses across 27 countries.

### average_annual_loss_rcp2p6
- **Type:** float32
- **NoData:** NaN
Expected annual damage as a fraction of asset value for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under IPCC climate scenario RCP2.6. See average annual loss baseline variable for methodology.

### average_annual_loss_rcp4p5
- **Type:** float32
- **NoData:** NaN
Expected annual damage as a fraction of asset value for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under IPCC climate scenario RCP4.5. See average annual loss baseline variable for methodology.

### average_annual_loss_rcp6p0
- **Type:** float32
- **NoData:** NaN
Expected annual damage as a fraction of asset value for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under IPCC climate scenario RCP6.0. See average annual loss baseline variable for methodology.

### average_annual_loss_rcp8p5
- **Type:** float32
- **NoData:** NaN
Expected annual damage as a fraction of asset value for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under IPCC climate scenario RCP8.5. See average annual loss baseline variable for methodology.

### fire_danger_days_baseline
- **Type:** float32
- **Units:** days
- **NoData:** NaN
Annual count of days exceeding high fire danger thresholds for the historical baseline (1980). Thresholds are the local 95th percentile of daily Fire Weather Index for a pre-industrial reference period (1850-1900), so vary by location.

### fire_danger_days_rcp2p6
- **Type:** float32
- **Units:** days
- **NoData:** NaN
Annual count of days exceeding high fire danger thresholds for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under IPCC climate scenario RCP2.6. See fire danger days baseline variable for methodology.

### fire_danger_days_rcp4p5
- **Type:** float32
- **Units:** days
- **NoData:** NaN
Annual count of days exceeding high fire danger thresholds for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under IPCC climate scenario RCP4.5. See fire danger days baseline variable for methodology.

### fire_danger_days_rcp6p0
- **Type:** float32
- **Units:** days
- **NoData:** NaN
Annual count of days exceeding high fire danger thresholds for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under IPCC climate scenario RCP6.0. See fire danger days baseline variable for methodology.

### fire_danger_days_rcp8p5
- **Type:** float32
- **Units:** days
- **NoData:** NaN
Annual count of days exceeding high fire danger thresholds for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under IPCC climate scenario RCP8.5. See fire danger days baseline variable for methodology.

### intensity_baseline
- **Type:** float32
- **NoData:** NaN
Severity of extreme fire weather conditions for the historical baseline (1980). Data is generated from the power-enhanced normalised maximum Fire Weather Index (FWI), adjusted for vegetation type and topography.

### intensity_rcp2p6
- **Type:** float32
- **NoData:** NaN
Severity of extreme fire weather conditions for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under IPCC climate scenario RCP2.6. See intensity baseline variable for methodology.

### intensity_rcp4p5
- **Type:** float32
- **NoData:** NaN
Severity of extreme fire weather conditions for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under IPCC climate scenario RCP4.5. See intensity baseline variable for methodology.

### intensity_rcp6p0
- **Type:** float32
- **NoData:** NaN
Severity of extreme fire weather conditions for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under IPCC climate scenario RCP6.0. See intensity baseline variable for methodology.

### intensity_rcp8p5
- **Type:** float32
- **NoData:** NaN
Severity of extreme fire weather conditions for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under IPCC climate scenario RCP8.5. See intensity baseline variable for methodology.

### probability_baseline
- **Type:** float32
- **NoData:** NaN
Annual probability of fire occurrence for the historical baseline (1980). Data is generated from 24 years of MODIS and Sentinel-3 satellite-observed burned area, integrating weather, fuels, ignition sources, and suppression effectiveness over the observation period.

### probability_rcp2p6
- **Type:** float32
- **NoData:** NaN
Annual probability of fire occurrence for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under IPCC climate scenario RCP2.6. Data is projected from calibrated relationships between Fire Weather Index conditions and satellite-observed burn frequency, adjusted for vegetation, topography, and anthropogenic influence. See probability baseline variable for empirical basis.

### probability_rcp4p5
- **Type:** float32
- **NoData:** NaN
Annual probability of fire occurrence for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under IPCC climate scenario RCP4.5. See probability RCP2.6 variable for methodology.

### probability_rcp6p0
- **Type:** float32
- **NoData:** NaN
Annual probability of fire occurrence for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under IPCC climate scenario RCP6.0. See probability RCP2.6 variable for methodology.

### probability_rcp8p5
- **Type:** float32
- **NoData:** NaN
Annual probability of fire occurrence for 2030, 2050, and 2080 under IPCC climate scenario RCP8.5. See probability RCP2.6 variable for methodology.

## Pricing

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1yXFFwCUKxMz9PQKVHrFFMZvoukNKx87h/view?usp=sharing

| Volume | Price |
| --- | --- |
| Any (Entry tier) | $5/ha |
| Any (Subscription tier) | $0.5/ha |